low-probability, high-impact outcomes

There's an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering the likelihood of that outcome multiplied by the impact of that outcome. This is illustrated…

Risk Matrix Images – Browse 2,838 Stock Photos, Vectors, and Video

Risks in Global Supply Chains The Geography of Transport Systems

Risk Impact Probability Chart - Toolshero

Project risk assessment: example with a risk matrix template

Dr Valérie Masson-Delmotte @valmasdel.bsky.social on X: Low-likelihood, high-impact outcomes could occur at global and regional scales even for global warming within the very likely range for a given greenhouse emissions scenario. The

Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations

The risk evaluation based on probability and severity of consequence 

Dr Valérie Masson-Delmotte @valmasdel.bsky.social on X: Low-likelihood, high-impact outcomes could occur at global and regional scales even for global warming within the very likely range for a given greenhouse emissions scenario. The

New tools and methods for High-Impact Low-Probability (HILP) event analysis - #SINTEFblog

The quantification of low-probability–high-consequences events: part I. A generic multi-risk approach

Risk Rating - What Is It, Example, Factors, Catagories

New tools and methods for High-Impact Low-Probability (HILP) event analysis - #SINTEFblog

Project risk assessment: example with a risk matrix template

A Risk/Impact Probability Chart